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Gold Prices 'Unsupported' by US Ban on Huawei or Iran Threat as Bond Yields Rally

Thursday, 5/16/2019 14:49
GOLD PRICES halved their earlier gains for the week on Thursday even as US-China tensions worsened yet further and Washington reported an unspecified 'threat' from Iran.
 
Major government bond prices also edged back, pushing longer-term interest rates up from their lowest since end-2017 after the United States yesterday reported weaker industrial output for the 3rd month in four.
 
Priced in the Dollar, gold today cut its gain from last Friday's finish to 0.4% at $1291 per ounce.
 
Silver held a small gain for the week so far at $14.82 but platinum prices fell back towards yesterday's 7-week lows at $844 per ounce.
 
Chart of 10-year US Treasury yields vs. Dollar gold price. Source: St.Louis Fed
 
With the Trump White House declaring a 'national emergency' overnight to enable a complete ban on imports of telecoms equipment by Chinese giant Huawei, the Dollar rose towards new 2019 highs against the Yuan and also rose again versus the Euro and the British Pound.
 
That put the gold price for Eurozone investors at €1155 and held the UK gold price in Pound Sterling terms unchanged at yesterday's 11-week high of £1010 per ounce.
 
Beijing meantime charged Canadians Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor with gathering state secrets to share with foreign forces, a move "strongly" condemned by Ottawa.
 
Their arrest in December, dubbed "the normalization of international hostage-taking for political purposes" by one academic specialist, was widely seen as a tit-for-tat move over US pressure to extradite Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou from Canada for alleged violation of Washington's sanctions against Iran.
 
"There are still a lot of underlying tensions," Reuters earlier quoted an economist at National Australia Bank, "so that might be supportive for gold."
 
Chart of USD gold price, last 1 month. Source: BullionVault
 
Despite the effective US ban on Huawei, China's main stock index meantime closed 0.5% higher at its highest level so far this month.
 
European equities also gained, taking the EuroStoxx 600 index up 0.4% to its highest in a week.
 
"No part of the Communist Chinese state is ultimately able to operate free of the control exercised by its Communist Party leadership," says Sir Richard Dearlove, former head of UK intelligence agency MI6, presenting a new report today from the self-declared 'liberal but hawkish' Henry Jackson Society think tank.
 
"Therefore, we must conclude the engagement of Huawei presents a potential security risk to the UK," writes Dearlove, blamed for enabling the UK's 'dodgy dossier' of 2003 preceding the US-led overthrow of Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein and now urging the British Government to "reconsider" its controversial approval of Huawei as a supplier for building the UK's 5G data network.
 
The US last night ordered a partial evacuation of its embassy staff in Iraq's capital Baghdad, citing an unspecified threat linked to neighboring Iran.
 
A plan discussed at the White House last week called for up to 120,000 US troops in the Middle East if Tehran attacks American forces or speeds its nuclear weapons research, claims the New York Times.
 
"Achieving 20% enrichment [of uranium] is the most difficult part," said Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to officials in Tehran on Tuesday night.
 
"The next steps are easier."

 

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Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

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