Gold News

Gold Bullion Jumps as US GDP Blows Past Forecasts on Weak Inflation, Low-Rate Outlook

GOLD BULLION sank and then immediately regained a 0.5% drop Friday lunchtime in London, heading for its first weekly gain in 5 as new US data blew past analyst forecasts for the world's largest economy.
 
With the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tool predicting 2.7% annual growth, the US economy topped Wall Street's consensus prediction of 2.1% with a 3.2% rise in GDP.
 
The strongest Q1 growth since 2015, that was aided by the pace of inflation more than halving to 0.8% on the Personal Consumption Expenditures measure.
 
With over 70% of all speculative betting on US interest-rate futures now foreseeing a cut from the Federal Reserve by February 2020, gold bullion swiftly rallied to add almost $10 per ounce from its initial drop on the GDP news, trading up to $1285 for the first time since early last week.
 
Major government bond prices also rose, pushing long-term interest rates lower, but crude oil retreated hard from this week's new 6-month highs.
 
Silver prices tracked gold bullion higher, reclaiming last week's close just above $15 per ounce.
 
Platinum also rose, trading at $892.50 – a 10-month high when reached at the start of April.
 
"[The US figure] helps offset fears of slowing global growth," reckons Alec Young, managing director of global markets research at data providers FTSE Russell.
 
"With inflation still subdued, it's too early to start worrying about fed rate hikes again,"
 
Chart of US Dollar gold price. Source: BullionVault
 
Friday's New York opening saw shares in I.T. hardware giant Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) fall to a 2-month low, down over 9%, after missing analyst forecasts with this week's Q1 earnings report.
 
Stock in online retail monster Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) meantime failed to top Tuesday's new 6-month high despite beating expectations, despite announcing what one analyst called "game-changing" plans for faster delivery times, and despite all US stock brokerages who follow the company rating it a 'buy'.
 
Over in Asia, this week's earlier drop for gold priced in US Dollar terms has seen dealers in top consumer nations China and India raise their premiums over global quotes, Reuters reports
 
Shanghai gold prices today topped $20 per ounce above London bullion rates for only the 7th day in the last 2 years.
 
Over in Mumbai, and ahead of India's Hindu festival of Akshaya Tritiya – now a key promotional period for gold dealers – "at current price levels demand is very good from retail buyers," says Mukesh Kothari, director at RiddiSiddhi Bullions.
 
Holding at €1150 per ounce as the Dollar whipped on the FX market, the price of gold bullion in Euro terms traded up 1.4% for the week.
 
The UK gold price in Pounds per ounce also held better than 2-week highs at £993 Friday afternoon, adding 1.2% from Easter weekend.

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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