Gold News

Gold "Sitting Tight", Silver Just 1¢ Off $20/Oz as Obama's $150bn Labor Day Promises Called "Austerity" by Krugman

Gold rose back above $1250 an ounce for Dollar investors on Monday in what dealers called "quiet" Asian and early London trade, while European stock markets also ticked higher together with government bonds.

Silver Prices came within one cent of $20 per ounce, extending last week's 30-month highs.

"Gold is sitting in a very tight range," says Andrey Kryuchenkov at VTB Capital in London, speaking to Reuters.

"The downside will be limited because of seasonality, with Asian buyers really looking to buy on any dips."

"My order book is filling-up, and I expect more to come as the Rupee has appreciated," a state-bank gold dealer in Mumbai told the Economic Times this morning.

"I have plenty of orders below $1240," said another.

Hong Kong dealers today reported "physical buying" by Chinese traders, but volume was light – as it was in Asian stock markets, which rose 0.8% on the MSCI index to a four-week high – in anticipation of today's Labor Day holiday in the US and Canada.

This week brings little key economic data before China's trade balance statistics on Friday.

Monetary policy meetings will meantime be held by the central banks of Japan, Australia and the UK.

"This Labor Day, we should recommit ourselves to...heal[ing] our economy. [But] we need more than a healthy stock market," said US president Barack Obama on Sunday.

"We need bustling main streets and a growing, thriving middle class. First, that means doing everything we can to accelerate job creation," he said, with a speech scheduled in Milwaukee today set to announce a new $50bn infrastructure program and also extend $100 billion of tax cuts to research & development over the next 10 years.

"President Obama's economists promised not to repeat the mistakes of 1937, when F.D.R. pulled back fiscal stimulus too soon," writes Princeton economist Paul Krugman in the New York Times.

"But by making his program too small and too short-lived, Mr. Obama did just that.
"When the economy is deeply depressed, the usual rules don't apply. Austerity is self-defeating."

Analysis from the FT today shows Eurozone governments plan to raise over $100 billion in new debt issues this month – twice the sum they raised in August.

"To guarantee the solvency of the Eurozone's periphery would require not a few quarters of solid growth, but an entire decade," notes the paper's Wolfgang Münchau.

Last Friday, he adds, yield spreads over comparable German Bunds – the single currency's benchmark debt, and currently offering "ridiculously low" returns – had risen back to "3.4% for Ireland, 9.4% for Greece, 3.4 % for Portugal, and 1.7% for Spain."

Over on the forex market on Monday, the British Pound fell hard against the Dollar and Euro, driving the Gold Price in Sterling back towards last week's two-month highs of £815 an ounce.

Euro Gold Prices were little changed at €31,300 per kilo.

Crude oil slipped towards $74 per barrel, but overall the major commodity indices rose.

Buying Silver or physical Gold Bullion today? Get off-risk with the world's No.1 private-investor service, BullionVault...

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

Follow Us

Facebook Youtube Twitter LinkedIn

 

 

Market Fundamentals