Gold News

Gold and Silver Forecasts 'Beyond Outlandish' After 2025's Bad Miss

GOLD and SILVER PRICES jumped to fresh all-time highs on Tuesday, marking the 1st anniversary of Donald Trump's return to the White House by extending 2026's run of new records as precious metals analysts followed last year's bad miss by making the most bullish forecasts so far this century.

The 2026 Forecast Survey, gathered and published by precious metals trade body the London Bullion Market Association, says that on average professional analysts and traders now see this year's average daily gold price rising by almost 2/5ths from 2025, while the annual average price of silver is projected to double.

Both of those silver and gold price forecasts are by far the most bullish average forecasts on the LBMA's Survey back to the early 2000s.

Today's avowedly "outlandish" forecasts from former banking and refining executive Ross Norman − one of the longest-running and most successful precious metals forecasters in the LBMA competition − are topped by 3 other analysts in gold, 1 in silver, 4 in platinum and 2 in palladium.

Charts of LBMA Forecast Survey consensus predictions vs. gold and silver annual average outcomes, 2010 to 2026

Today's consensus gold forecast − now projecting a rise of $1310 across 2026 to $4742 − comes after analysts on average missed 2025's gold price rise of $1045 per ounce by almost $700, a record bad miss in Dollar and percentage terms.

Last year's LBMA Survey consensus also missed silver's annual average outcome of $40 per Troy ounce by a record, coming $8 below.

Now the 2026 predictions, on average, foresee a rise of 98.8% to more than $79.50.

With silver fixing in London at midday today around $95.60 per Troy ounce, nine of the 26 silver forecasts in this year's LBMA competition have already seen the industrially-useful precious metal breach their high-point prediction.

Global stock markets in contrast fell Tuesday with bond and commodity prices as a survey from the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland said that politicians, financiers and business leaders see 'Geo-economic confrontation' as the risk "most likely to present a material crisis on a global scale in 2026", followed by 'State-based armed conflict'.

President Trump will tomorrow meet with leaders of the USA's European Nato allies to demand that Denmark give Greenland to America.

"Nobody wants him because he's going to be out of office very soon," said Trump last night of Emmanuel Macron when asked about the French President's apparent refusal to pay $1 billion to join the US-led 'Board of Peace' controlling war-torn Gaza.

"That's all right. I'll put a 200% tariff on his wines and champagnes, and he'll join. But he doesn’t have to."

"Europe is at a total loss and, to be honest, it's a pleasure to watch this," says Russian tabloid Moskovsky Komsomolets of the US-Europe argument over Greenland.

"If Trump annexes Greenland by July 4 2026, when America celebrates the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, he will go down in history as a figure who asserted the greatness of the United States," says Kremlin mouthpiece Rossiyskaya Gazeta.

Touching $4747 per Troy ounce today with its 7th new daily high in 13 sessions so far this year, gold bullion in global trading hub London has risen more than 75% since Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States 12 months ago today.

That's the sharpest ever 12-month move for gold prices under any US President other than the start of Richard Nixon's second term in 1973, which ended with his resignation the following August over the Watergate scandal.

Across all forecasts in today's LBMA 2026 Forecast Survey, gold's trading range is seen running from a low of $3450 to $7150.

Silver's forecast range is wider still, with the lowest low-end forecast from today's LBMA entrants coming at $42 and the highest high at $165.

 

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver, platinum and palladium market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

Follow Us

 

Mobile apps

 - live trading 24/7

 - buy & sell instantly

 - up-to-the-second charts

 

App Store

 

Google Play Store

 

 

 

 

Daily news email
See 'communications settings' 

Gold price chart

Latest news free

 

 

 

Gold Investor Index
6 January 2026

Gold Investor Index

Record trading

 

 

 

Newsweek
6 May 2025

Americans buy gold?

 

 

 

BBC R4 Today
23 December 2025

Gold $4400

 

 

Wirtschaft mit Weisbach
9 September 2025

Why is gold soaring?

 

 

 

Market Fundamentals