Gold News

Gold Bullion Drops vs US Dollar But Tests 2-Year High for Australia's Miners

GOLD BULLION rose near 2-year highs against the Australian Dollar on Tuesday even as gold priced in US Dollars fell back below $1310 – its lowest level in more than a month when first reached last week.
 
The second-largest gold mining nation behind China, Australia has grown its annual output by 15% since the peak year of 2012 for US Dollar prices.
 
Setting a new annual record of 295 tonnes in 2017 as gold exploration spending rose, Australia's output accounted for some 9% of global mine production according to specialist analysts Thomosn Reuters GFMS, launching their new Gold Survey 2018 today.
 
Weak retail sales data on Tuesday, plus a new government budget promising higher spending and lower taxes, saw the Australian Dollar fall hard, hitting an 11-month low against the US greenback.
 
That pushed bullion prices for Australian investors, consumers and mining producers up to A$1757 per ounce – an 18-month peak now touched 4 times in the last 6 weeks.
 
Chart of gold bullion priced in Australian Dollars, last 20 years. Source: BullionVault
 
Easing back from yesterday's 16-week high in the UK gold price in Pounds per ounce – set at £973 as London's market stayed shut for the May Bank Holiday – wholesale bullion also hit 4-month highs against the Euro on Tuesday, as the single currency hit a new 2018 low on the foreign exchange market.
 
The Euro fell this morning below $1.19 – down over 5% from late February's 3-year highs versus the US Dollar – after new data yesterday put Eurozone investor confidence at the weakest since early 2017 while new orders at German factories shrank in April from March, defying analyst forecasts.
 
The last time the Euro traded this low against the Dollar, gold was at €1074 and $1279 against the two currencies.
 
Tuesday morning saw London gold bullion trade 2.7% higher against both currencies, peaking at €1104 and $1314 per ounce.
 
"Global mine production inched lower last year," says today's new GFMS report, "the first annual drop since 2008.
 
"Environmental concerns and a crackdown on illegal mining were the driving force," it says, forecasting a small rise in 2018 to a new all-time high marking "a cyclical peak in mine production."
 
Predicting that bullion prices will average $1360 this year – the highest since the crash of 2013, and with the potential for a spike to $1500 – GFMS expects this year's gold mining growth to come from Asian producers led by Indonesia, Mongolia and China.
 
"On the other hand, United States, Tanzania and South Africa are expected to show strong declines year-on-year."

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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