Gold News

Gold Bounces from 9% Drop as World Governments "Put Meat on the Skeleton" and Nationalize Banks, Lend Unlimited Dollars

Gold Prices gave back an initial 2% rally in Hong Kong and London trade on Monday, standing $10 an ounce higher from Friday's close at $858 as world stock markets bounced almost 6% from last week's record sell-off on news of bank nationalizations and government bail-outs.

Crude oil ticked higher above $80 per barrel, while government bond prices fell, pushing yields higher.

The UK Treasury said it will borrow up to £37 billion ($63bn) from the bond market to buy and control a majority stake in Royal Bank of Scotland, plus a 40% share of the proposed Lloyds TSB-HBOS giant.

"It's perhaps the most extraordinary day in British banking history," said BBC business editor Robert Peston, "an absolute humiliation for the banks."

The British Pound rose 2.7% from last Friday's five-year low on the currency markets, capping the Gold Price in Sterling just above £500 an ounce.

The Gold Price in Euros meantime slipped €2 an ounce to €630, while the French and German stock markets leapt more than 5% on hopes the European Union will also shore up bank balance-sheets with tax-payer cash.

"We will put meat on the skeleton" with specific details promised French finance minister Christine Lagarde after the G7 meeting of leading nations ended on Saturday.

"I am hopeful the US Treasury will [also] announce they're doing it," said Senator Chuck Schumer, head of the Joint Economic Committee, at the weekend.

"They have to do it quickly...markets are waiting."

Today the Federal Reserve has agreed with the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England for them to lend "unlimited" quantities of US Dollars into their local money markets

"Subject to the panic attacks and unstable psychology of world financial markets, gold will continue its roller-coaster ride, exhibiting short-term price volatility," reckons Jeffrey Nichols, head of American Precious Metals Advisors, speaking to Reuters.

Bloomberg's latest survey of professional analysts and bullion traders found 25 out of 33 are bullish for this week, believing that the Gold Price will end Friday above last week's finish at $848 an ounce.

That level was almost 9% down from Friday morning after hedge funds and other speculative traders – desperate to raise cash to cover losses in equities and currency bets – were forced to close leveraged, geared positions in the Gold Futures and options market.

Open interest in US Comex contracts shrank yet again in the weekending Tues 7 Oct., new data said after the market close on Friday.

Down another 2% from the previous Tuesday, open interest in leveraged gold bets – positions that require lines of credit for finance – are now one-third smaller than the record peak of January.

Physical demand for actual Gold Bullion, meantime, continues to surge, with gold dealers from London to Berlin reporting "demand about 10 times what it is at normal times," according to Stephan Henkel, a gold broker at Umicore in Germany.

Sales of Vienna Philharmonic gold coins have gone up by more than 230% since last year.
says production has gone into overdrive.

Across the border in Vienna, "we are running at present something like three shifts on all of the machines, on the presses, producing both gold and the silver bullion coins," says Kerry Tattersall, head of marketing at the Austrian mint, which has seen sales of its Vienna Philharmonic Gold Coins rise by 230% since 2007.

"Given the magnitude of the credit crisis, why scramble after the currency of a country on the brink of recession or worse?" asks Jean Temkin for Business Day in South Africa.

"Would you rather invest in the currency of a country whose financial mishandling has twice plunged the world into economic panic [meaning the United States] or in gold?"

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver and platinum market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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