Gold News

Case for Gold Investing "Remains the Same" as US Inflation Jump, Fed Sticks at Zero

Gold Investing prices extended last night's strong gains on Thursday, hitting fresh all-time highs at $1534 per ounce as new US data showed inflation accelerating sharply.

Major-economy government bonds all rose, nudging yields lower, after the Federal Reserve last night held US interest rates near zero for the 28th month in succession.

The US Dollar fell to the lowest level since July 2008 – just prior to the Lehman Bros' collapse – on its trade-weighted index. Crude oil rose to new 31-month highs.

Silver Prices jumped 8.5% to erase almost all of this week's drop from fresh 31-year records.

European stock markets held flat overall, with London's FTSE-100 falling as the UK headed into another long Bank Holiday weekend.

"Taken together, Bernanke's remarks were consistent with our forecast for no rate hikes for a long time to come," says a note from Goldman Sachs.

"The Fed's announcement was as expected," agrees the commodities team at Standard Bank today. "[So] our view on gold remains the same...upside towards year-end is a strong possibility, given that real interest rates remain low, government borrowing is high and global liquidity though easing is still growing."

"The tone from the Fed remains dovish," says Deutsche Bank's Daniel
Brebner, speaking to Bloomberg, "resulting in further weakness in the US

"Inflationary threats may be seen to be building as the Fed continues to
sit on the sidelines," says Brebner, pushing more money into silver and Gold Investing today.

Hosting his first-ever rate-decision press conference, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke last night downgraded the central bank's 2011 projections for both economic growth and unemployment, but unveiled a rise in the Fed's inflation forecasts – up from 1.7% to perhaps 2.8% at the upper end.

Jan-March saw domestic price inflation jump to 3.4% year-on-year, however, according to new GDP data released Thursday morning – the strongest reading since fall 2008.

Economic growth slowed to 1.8% annualized in the first quarter of 2011.

"Longer term, we can still see a case for gold and I can imagine us going back into it," says UK multi-fund investing manager Scott Spencer at Aberdeen Asset Management, speaking to FundWeb.

"But the current run led to us moving out of the asset," he says after selling the 5% of his £800 million ($1.3bn) funds previously held in the Blackrock mining-stock and Gold ETF trust funds.

"We may look at it again if it goes towards the $1,300 an ounce mark."

For the UK investing public, the spot Gold Price in Sterling today retouched Wednesday night's high above £920 per ounce, just shy of last week's new all-time high at £921.50.

Eurozone investors wanting to Buy Gold saw the price reverse the last of this week's 1.4% drop, trading back above €33,200 per kilo.

"Negative news-flow from the Eurozone debt crisis still fails to undermine" the Euro/Dollar exchange rate, says says
Standard Bank's forex investing strategist Steve Barrow.

"[But] we feel that [a] deterioration
in the Eurozone debt crisis will coincide with a tweaking of the Fed’s
monetary message" and knock the Euro currency down to $1.20. "What's that the Fed signals that the era of free [US] money might be
coming closer to an end."

Buying Gold or physical Silver Investment bullion today...?

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver and platinum market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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