Gold News

Gold Price Flat at $1200 for Labor Day as Bears Ease Back, US Jewelry Sales Beat Coin, Bar Demand

LABOR DAY 2018 saw global gold bullion prices edge back to $1200 per ounce in quiet trade on Monday, down 0.3% for the day, as US markets stayed closed for the end-of-summer holiday.
 
Asian and European equities ticked lower, also in quiet trading, as crude oil rose to 2-month highs and the other precious metals held firmer than gold.
 
Silver slipped 3 cents per ounce to $14.51 by mid-afternoon in London as platinum prices added 50 cents from Friday's finish to trade at $788.
 
Betting against silver prices by hedge funds and other 'Managed Money' traders last week grew for the 4th week running on Comex futures and options, approaching April 2018's record-heavy levels according to US regulator the CFTC's data series.
 
Managed Money betting against platinum meantime reached a new record, with that group's bearish positions outnumbering its bullish bets for the 21st week in succession.
 
Comex gold contracts have, over the last 10 years, seen the Managed Money group of traders average a positive weekly bet equivalent to $16.2bn of metal.
 
That fell to a negative bet worth a record $9.4bn in mid-August, before easing to -$8.4bn last week.
 
Chart of Managed Money net speculative position in Comex gold futures and options, notional contract value. Source: BullionVault via CFTC
 
As gold prices fell last month, imports of gold bullion to No.2 consumer nation India through the key hub of Ahmedabad rose to an 8-month high, the Times of India reports.
 
Year-on-year comparisons would be skewed however, says Haresh Acharya – national secretary of the Bullion Federation of India – by August 2017's weak levels, hit by last year's implementation of new GST sales tax.
 
Following August's rise, and despite the looming Hindu wedding and festival season, "Jewellers are [now] cutting purchases," one news-wire quotes a dealer in Mumbai.
 
"They think the Rupee could recover and local prices could fall again."
 
US jewelry retailer Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) has meantime seen growing sales, reports South Africa's Independent Online, beating analyst forecasts with its latest results and raising its full-year forecast.
 
US gold jewelry demand overall last Christmas hit its strongest quarterly levels since at last 2010, according to data compiled by specialist analysts Metals Focus for the mining-backed World Gold Council.
 
In the year to end-June 2018, total sales rose 9.3% from the previous half-decade average, totaling more than 126 tonnes.
 
US gold bar and coin demand, in contrast, fell 61% from its prior 5-year average to total just 26 tonnes on Metals Focus' data.
 
Sales of US gold Eagle coins by the US Mint fell over 38% last month from July, according to data compiled by Reuters.
 
Meantime in No.1 consumer market China on Monday, premiums above London quotes for bullion landed in Shanghai rose towards $8 per ounce, just shy of typical levels after sliding below $3 earlier this summer.
 
Currency trading was also quiet, but Sterling fell – helping the UK gold price in British Pounds per ounce recover half last week's £10 loss at £932 – amid fresh wrangling in the ruling Conservative Party over next March's Brexit from the EU.
 
London's official proposal for a Brexit deal is simply unacceptable, the EU's chief negotiator Michel Barnier says.

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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