Gold News

Gold Price Defies 2015 Dollar Surge & Crude Oil Drop, Hits Multi-Month Highs vs. Euro, Sterling, Franc and Aussie

GOLD PRICE gains of 1.5% already in 2015 were extended Tuesday in London, with Dollar prices twice touching 3-week highs at $1214 per ounce despite the US currency surging again on the FX and commodity markets.
 
The Euro hit new 9-year lows, and US crude oil contracts fell below $50 per barrel for the first time since 2009.
 
Gold priced in Euros and Swiss Francs hit the highest levels since September 2013, while UK and Australian investors saw the price hit 10-month highs.
 
Silver rose faster, gaining 5.2% for Euro investors so far in 2015.
 
"There is a bit of talk about safe-haven buying," Reuters quotes one gold trader, "given the spike in uncertainty regarding the future of the Eurozone."
 
The SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) added 1.5 tonnes of gold to back its shares on Monday from the new 6-year low hit Friday at 709 tonnes.
 
Silver largest ETF, the iShares Trust (NYSEArca:SLV) meantime shed a further 5 tonnes however as investors sold and reduced the outstanding number of shares to the lowest level since August at 10,245 tonnes.
 
Facing a loss on bearish bets against gold for December, speculators in cut their short position and raised their bullish bets in the week-ending last Tuesday, delayed data showed yesterday.
 
The net long position of speculative traders in US Comex gold futures and options grew to the equivalent of 408 tonnes by 30 December – twice as large as the speculative net long at end-2013.
 
US derivatives exchange group the CME today said it will launch a 1-kilo gold futures contract in Hong Kong on 26 January, claiming it will "provide price discovery in this key Asia bullion trading hub to market participants around the world, virtually 24 hours a day."
 
"Gold surprisingly firm," says South Africa's Standard Bank, whose commodities unit is being bought by China's ICBC.
 
"Given stronger USD, lower yields, lower oil and lower inflation expectations; it does not make sense for gold to be up here."
 
On the contrary, says investment bank and London market maker HSBC, "The ability of gold to track higher...may mean investors are beginning to view EUR-USD and/or oil declines as disorderly, prompting safe haven buying in gold.
 
"Another explanation is that equity-price declines were significant enough to promote more than offsetting flight to quality buying in gold [which should] tend to favor further gold gains."
 
Western stock markets stabilized Tuesday after shedding 1.5% yesterday, but Japan's Nikkei dropped another 3%, as did India's Sensex after government borrowing data said New Delhi has hit its full-year deficit target in just 8 months.

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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