Gold News

Giant Gold ETF the GLD Shrinks Fastest Since 2013 Crash on Trump's 'Positive Growth' Policies

GOLD ETF holdings have shrunk at their fastest pace since the price crash of spring 2013 since Donald Trump's US election victory, with the world's largest gold-backed trust fund starting Tuesday almost 3% smaller as price steadied from their worst drop in 2 years.
 
Down some 26 tonnes in the last 3 sessions, bullion held to back the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) has shrunk as shareholders have liquidated stock, falling the most since April 2013, when the gold price crashed at its worst pace in 3 decades.
 
That cut the GLD's backing to 928 tonnes, still 45% above end-2015's seven-year lows, but the smallest holdings since June's UK Brexit referendum result.
 
Gold prices ended Monday in London more than 5% lower from Wednesday afternoon in Dollar terms – the metal's sharpest 3-day drop since October 2014 at the global benchmarking auction.
Chart of the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) bullion backing vs. spot price
 
"Reduced regulation, lower corporate taxes, faster economic growth in the short term are all positive factors fundamentally," says Justin Oliver, deputy head of investment at the £12 billion Canaccord Genuity Wealth of Trump's stated policies.
 
"There remains an appetite to use equity market weakness as a buying opportunity."
 
Funds run by speculator George Soros cut their GLD holdings entirely between July and end-September, new regulatory filings show.
 
Data gathered by Nasdaq.com from all 13F filings – reports on holdings of listed US equities which managers of $100m or more must make to regulators the SEC – show that the number of institutions owning GLD stock grew as prices plateaued between July and September, but their average holding shrank and the number of private investors in the stock grew much faster.
Table showing institutional fund managers' holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD)
Total gold ETF holdings worldwide rose 1.1% in October, data gathered by market-development organization the World Gold Council showed Tuesday, with growth in cheaper vehicles the iShares IAU and ETF Securities' products outweighing a 5-tonne drop in the GLD.
 
"Another volatile session [Monday] with huge turnover," says Swiss refining and finance group MKS Pamp's trading desk, noting "a healthy $6-8 premium" on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, rising above $10 per ounce by the close – some 4 times the typical incentive for new imports to the world's No.1 mining and consuming nation.
 
Former No.1 consumer India has meantime seen gold bullion imports leap to perhaps $1 billion over the last 6 days according to specialist analysts GFMS, since the Government of Narendra Modi suddenly demonetized India's largest banknotes, worth some 86% of all currency in circulation.
 
Retailers and jewelers report a 23-fold spike in sales of gold the night of last Tuesday according to The Hindu, when the sudden and controversial decision spurred a rush to buy gold with the expiring notes.

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver and platinum market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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