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Price to Buy Gold in Pounds Hits 3-Year High as Brexit Poll Pushes UK Bond Yields Down to 3-Century Record Low

Tuesday, 6/14/2016 14:39
BUY GOLD prices hit near-3 year highs for UK investors and savers on Tuesday as the Pound slumped with world stock markets after a new opinion poll put Leave campaigners well ahead in next week's 'Brexit' referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union.
 
The new survey by pollsters YouGov for The Times newspaper put Leave on 46%, its strongest showing to date, with Remain on just 39%.
 
However, " Eleven per cent of people do not know how they will vote and 4 per cent plan to abstain," The Times says of the poll, the fourth published in two days to put Leave in front.
 
Sterling fell over 1% to new 2-month lows on the FX market, driving prices to buy gold bullion up to their highest level for UK investors since August 2013 at £910 per ounce.
 
London's FTSE 100 share index meantime fell 1.2% to a new 4-month low, more than 15% below the record high of April 2015.
 
"Interesting argument that FTSE is down on Brexit fear," said John Stepek, editor of best-selling UK investment magazine MoneyWeek, "[because the] worst-hit sector is global mining stocks."
 
"[But] the latest run of UK referendum polls will continue to exacerbate fears of a potential global domino effect in the event of a Leave vote," the Financial Times quotes strategist Marc Ostwald at IDM Investor Services.
 
Eurozone stock markets also fell, down for the fifth day running in Frankfurt, as German Bund prices rose yet again, taking the yield offered to new buyers below zero for the first time in history.
 
"We must set ourselves free from dictatorial Brussels," urges the front page of The Times' fellow News UK daily paper The Sun – Britain's best-selling tabloid – calling the European Union "increasingly greedy, wasteful, bullying and breathtakingly incompetent in a crisis."
 
Ten-year US Treasury bond yields also fell, dropping intra-day below their lowest daily closing level since November 2012 at 1.59%.
 
UK Gilt yields meantime sank to new all-time levels at 1.18% on 10-year government debt, a record low in more than 3 centuries of trading.
Chart of long-term UK government bond yields from Bank of England data
 
"Bond markets show prospect of vote leave is reassuring investors," claims UKIP politician Douglas Carswell MP, citing a comment from fellow Leave campaigner John Redwood MP that UK government bond prices "have surged" on the turn in Brexit opinion polls.
 
"Nerves around the UK's EU referendum are helping Gilts," counters the FT, "with many analysts pondering whether the Bank of England might be bumped into another round of bond-buying to stimulate the economy" if recession now follows.
 
The S&P 500 in New York was set to open Tuesday more than 2% below last week's 11-month high.
 
Chinese prices to buy gold at Shanghai's new gold price benchmark auction had earlier held flat in Yuan terms, but slashed their Dollar-equivalent premium above live London quotes to zero from Monday's $10 per ounce, as spot trading volumes slowed hard.
 
Silver meantime lagged the rise in prices to buy gold once more, trading up to $17.42 per ounce for US investors as gold rose twice as fast, adding 1% from last week's finish to trade above $1286 per ounce.
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Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews, or get more from Adrian Ash on Google+

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News, RSS links are shown there.

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