Stocks? Don't Think. Just Buy
Friday, 7/03/2020 09:01
Goodbye, free markets. We hardly knew ya...
The GERMANS have a word for it,
says Brian Maher at The Daily Reckoning.
Fremdschämen.
Fremdschämen is a noun. It translates as "Embarrassment for those incapable of feeling embarrassment."
Today we suffer embarrassment for Mr.Jerome Powell and his fellows of the Federal Reserve.
For no action they take lowers their heads in shame...or blushes their cheeks with embarrassment.
Mr.Powell is simply in the hands of Wall Street...and on his knees to Wall Street.
Well does he know the taste of shoeblack.
Last week Mr.Powell got a fresh coat on his tongue.
For the Federal Reserve announced it intends to purchase individual corporate bonds – not merely ETFs.
By its own admission, it will:
"Begin buying a broad and diversified portfolio of corporate bonds to support market liquidity and the availability of credit for large employers."
We will not burden you with the plan's intricacies. You need only know this:
Yesterday's announcement "pressed the risk-on button," as money man Bill Blain styles it...
"Fears about the rising number of reopening coronavirus hotspots and economic threats were superseded by unbounded joy as the Fed announced it will buy secondary market corporate bonds direct[ly] rather than through ETFs, without any need for companies to certify their eligibility. That pressed the risk-on button – and markets recovered."
And so the free market sinks deeper into oblivion.
Central banks are now de facto guarantors of the corporate bond market.
What has all this QE Infinity and ZIRP interest rates created?...Where market prices have become meaningless as a result of financial asset inflation? Where junk bonds are priced like AAA securities, allowing private equity funds to thrive?
I am beginning to wonder if there is any point in thinking about markets any more...Just follow the central banks...don't think. Just buy.
"Don't think. Just buy."
We think the proper advice might rather run this way: "Don't buy. Just think."
Yet we do not dispense financial advice.
Our own Nomi Prins penetrates to the core of last week's Fed message. Nomi rings dead center when she says:
"As if the Fed hasn't done enough to destroy honest markets, now it plans to start buying individual corporate bonds. It's just another step closer to the Fed deciding the winners and losers in the market."
Thus the Federal Reserve is a referee who has taken a bribe, a butcher who thumbs the scales, a rogue, a traitor to justice.
A central banker with a conscience might lower his head in shame...and a red flush of embarrassment might stain his cheeks.
Yet Mr.Powell holds his head high and puffs his chest, proud as any peacock.
His cheeks, meantime, are pale.
Yet ours are scarlet – scarlet with embarrassment for the man incapable of embarrassment.
The Federal Reserve was originally fashioned to be the "lender of last resort". Yet that designation is presently a cruel and mocking jest.
It has passed from lender of last resort to stockjobber.
Economist Thomas M.Humphrey is the author of Lender of Last Resort: What It Is, Whence It Came, and Why the Fed Isn't It.
From which:
"While there exists such an entity as the classical lender of last resort (LLR) – the traditional, standard LLR model, to be exact – the Fed has rarely adhered to it...The Fed has deviated from the classical model in so many ways as to make a mockery of the notion that it is an LLR. In short, the Fed may be many things, crisis manager included. But it is not an LLR in the traditional sense of that term."
What is the proper function of the central bank?
As summarized by Wikipedia, a central bank exists to:
- protect the money stock instead of saving individual institutions;
- rescue solvent institutions only;
- let insolvent institutions default;
- charge penalty rates;
- require good collateral; and
- announce the conditions before a crisis so that the market knows exactly what to expect.
A word of explanation, perhaps, on "penalty rates".
The central bank should charge interest rates above the market rate.
Otherwise the central bank would be a lender of resort – not the lender of last resort.
A high rate further encourages debtors to retire their debts rapidly...to shake loose the heavy burden as soon as circumstances allowed.
Yet what does the Federal Reserve's actual record reveal? Says Humphrey:
- "Emphasis on credit (loans) as opposed to money...
- "taking junk collateral...
- "charging subsidy rates...
- "rescuing insolvent firms too big and interconnected to fail...
- "extension of loan repayment deadlines
- "no pre-announced commitment."
That is, the Federal Reserve takes sound central banking and knocks it 180 degrees out of phase.
It wars against all six mandates – and massively against Nos. 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
Imagine a plumber who does not patch leaks but creates leaks...a doctor who does not mend bones but cracks bones...a head shrinker who does not shrink heads but expands heads.
Now you have the flavor of it.
Yet the Federal Reserve's professional pride is unruffled. It displays no embarrassment, no shame at a job done wrong.
In fact, it believes it is a job done right.
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