Gold News

Thinking When Desperate

If you're wrong time and again, you should be forced to think. Hard...
LAST WEEK, writes Bill Bonner in his Daily Reckoning, Janet Yellen told the Senate what everyone wanted to hear: that the Federal Reserve would continue to support asset prices. With the 'Yellen put' in their pockets, investors bid up the Dow to over 16,000 by the end of the week.
What to make of it?
We're down in Nicaragua at a private meeting of members of our family wealth advisory service, Bonner & Partners Family Office. The aim of our service is to help our members protect and grow family wealth so that it is around for future generations. And we're thinking...
Thinking is the last resort. You only do it when you're desperate. When your opinions, predictions and guesses don't seem to be working out, you're forced to consider alternatives.
Although we have no doubt that Federal Reserve policies will prove disastrous, we have nothing but doubts about what form the disaster will take. John Williams of recalculates the Consumer Price Index (CPI), official unemployment rates and GDP figures based on more honest data and alternative methodologies.
What he discovers is that the CPI is higher, unemployment is higher and the GDP is lower than the feds would have us believe.
Williams reckons there is only one outcome possible: hyperinflation. A year ago, he expected it in 2019. Now, he's moved up the schedule. He now expects hyperinflation to begin in 2014.
Because the Federal Reserve is more aggressive than previously expected...and because the rest of the world is losing confidence in the US Dollar and its guardians.
The overseas portion of the US money supply is huge – with Dollars in every central banker's vault as well as in the private accounts and hidey-holes of millions of people all over the globe.
When these people lose faith, the trickle of these Dollars returning to the US will increase. Prices will begin to rise – slowly at first, then suddenly, in a flood.
Will John Williams be proven right? We'll have to wait to find out!

New York Times best-selling finance author Bill Bonner founded The Agora, a worldwide community for private researchers and publishers, in 1979. Financial analysts within the group exposed and predicted some of the world's biggest shifts since, starting with the fall of the Soviet Union back in the late 1980s, to the collapse of the Dot Com (2000) and then mortgage finance (2008) bubbles, and the election of President Trump (2016). Sharing his personal thoughts and opinions each day from 1999 in the globally successful Daily Reckoning and then his Diary of a Rogue Economist, Bonner now makes his views and ideas available alongside analysis from a small hand-picked team of specialists through Bonner Private Research.

See full archive of Bill Bonner articles

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

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