Gold News

Gold Spike: January 1980

When did the Gold Market last trade above $800 per ounce? A quick look back to Jan. 1980...

"THE GOLD MARKET has gone nuts," said a dealer to me today. Anyone looking to Buy Gold Today might think the same.

   Surging by more than 25% in the last 12 weeks alone, the Dollar Gold Price has now traded above $800 per ounce for three sessions.

  
It didn't even manage that at its all-time top of Jan. 1980.


The famous peak of $850 per ounce – recorded at the Afternoon Fix in London on 21st Jan. 1980 – marked the end of a nine-year bull market in gold, unleashed when Richard Nixon cut the US Dollar free from its "golden fetters" and stopped paying foreign governments in bullion.

  
Nixon killed what little life was left in the Bretton Woods agreement, built amid the devastation of World War II to help Europe recover its faith in credit and currencies. The result?

  
"Inflation in most countries at the end of 1979 was running in double digits," writes Peter Bernstein in his classic The Power of Gold. Pointing to the OPEC-led spike in oil prices, he also notes that "political conditions were perhaps even more frightening.

  
"Iranian radicals in Nov. 1979 took over the US embassy in Tehran...At the same time, the Russians were building up their strength in southern Yemen near Saudi Arabia, near Afghanistan's border with Iran, and near Bulgaria's border with Yugoslavia."

  
Fast forward to Nov. 2007, and the US is now rattling sabers with Iran once again, even running a naval exercise this week in the Persian Gulf. The Straits of Hormuz – the world's busiest shipping lane for crude oil tankers – were last week threatened by Iranian general Ali Fahdavi. He also said that Iranian suicide teams stand ready to attack any target in the Gulf.

  
Russia is also harking back to the flared-trouser glory of its Communist past, flying jets near to NATO airspace, murdering dissidents in London, and using its oil & natural gas resources as a kosh to beat its smaller neighbors.

   "There are those who would like to build a unipolar world," said President Putin at Sunday's Unity Day rally in Moscow. "They would themselves like to rule all of humanity."

   Putin then laid a wreathe in Red Square to commemorate those soldiers who had built Russia into "a great power stretching from the Baltic Sea to the Pacific."

   Ignore the never-ending war in Iraq and Afghanistan for a moment, and move straight onto the oil markets, where prices above $90 per barrel are only a few cents off beating 1980's top if you account for inflation. And then there's the credit market, struggling beneath a mountain of bad debts while interest rates fall...cutting the value of money every time it drops in price.

   "Mervyn King's effective guarantee of the liabilities of the British banking system is much more significant than declining South African gold production," says John Hathaway of Tocqueville Asset Management.

   In other words, the panicked reaction of central bankers to the ongoing credit crisis makes Buying Gold attractive even before you consider the fundamentals of the Gold Market itself.

   When gold last traded above $800 per ounce, Paul Volcker at the Federal Reserve fixed the Dollar by hiking US interest rates to nearly 20%.

   Do you really expect Ben Bernanke to support a "Strong Dollar" with higher interest rates anytime soon today...?

For a full report on What's Really Driving this Gold Bull Market – plus a gram of Free Gold stored in Zurich, Switzerland – click through and Register with BullionVault here...

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the physical gold and silver market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and is now a regular contributor to many leading analysis sites including Forbes and a regular guest on BBC national and international radio and television news. Adrian's views on the gold market have been sought by the Financial Times and Economist magazine in London; CNBC, Bloomberg and TheStreet.com in New York; Germany's Der Stern; Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore, and many other respected finance publications.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

Please Note: All articles published here are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it. Please review our Terms & Conditions for accessing Gold News.

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