Gold News

Gold Price Sets Record Run Above $2000 on 10th Anniversary of Trillion-Dollar Crash

The GOLD PRICE marked the 10th anniversary of its April 2013 crash by jumping to 1-week highs of $2025 per ounce in London's wholesale market on Wednesday, trading above the key $2000 mark for a record 5th day in a row as new US data said that headline inflation in the world's largest economy is slowing harder than expected, boosting bets that the Federal Reserve is finished raising interest rates.
Failing to take out last Wednesday's 13-month high of $2032 however, the Dollar gold price then gave back all of that spike and more, retreating towards the $2000 mark once again ahead of today's release of meeting notes from the Fed's late-March rate rise.
That saw  silver prices also erase a sharp spike, dropping 50 cents from a new 12-month peak of $25.60 per ounce.
The Consumer Price Index rose only 5.0% per year in the year to March says the Bureau of Labor Statistics, down from 6.0% in February, 0.2 percentage points below consensus forecasts, and the slowest annual inflation since May 2021.
But the 'core' CPI measure of inflation – stripping out volatile fuel and food costs – accelerated by 0.1 points from February's pace to reach 5.6% per year, outrunning the headline cost of living for the first time since December 2020.
The Dollar gold price had already traded around $2010 per ounce during Wednesday's 10:30am London benchmark auction today, fixing above $2000 for the 5th trading day in a row and beating the 4-day stretch set when the precious metal first breached that level in summer 2020 amid massive fiscal and monetary stimulus during the first wave of Covid pandemic lockdowns.
Ten years ago today gold prices slipped through what had been the precious metal's post-financial crisis floor of $1535 per ounce, starting what proved to be a trillion-dollar gold crash inside 2 sessions.
Chart of London benchmark gold price in US Dollars per ounce. Source: BullionVault
"Gold [had] bled lower from $2030 levels," said a note overnight looking ahead to the CPI data from Swiss refining and finance group MKS Pamp, "[thanks to] some profit-taking [as] physical selling and buyers' apathy sets in above $2000/oz.
"[But] sidelined bulls did not get what they wanted; a bigger flush toward $1950 to test where exactly physical floors lurk."
Fixing just $1 and $2 above $2000 per ounce at Tuesday's AM and then PM London gold benchmark auctions respectively, the spot bullion price leapt 1.0% inside 7 minutes of today's US inflation data.
Longer-term government debt also jumped in price, squashing the yield offered by 10-year US Treasury bonds down to 3.36% per annum, just 5 basis points above last week's 7-month low and 1 full percentage point below late-September's spike to the highest since summer 2007, start of the global financial crisis.
European stock markets rose and New York opened higher, while commodity costs also gained, led by crude oil reaching its highest since late-January above $86 per barrel of European benchmark Brent.
"At moments like this of financial stress, the right monetary approach calls for prudence and patience," said Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee in a speech yesterday, warning against another rate rise at the Federal Reserve's May meeting because of fragility in the banking sector highlighted by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature, as well as the forced takeover of Swiss giant Credit Suisse.
But the banking system has "really stabilized" said New York Fed chief John Williams – also a voting member of the FOMC this year – in separate remarks, repeating his view that discussion a quarter-point rise makes a "reasonable starting point" for May's meeting.

Adrian Ash

Adrian Ash, BullionVault Gold News

Adrian Ash is director of research at BullionVault, the world-leading physical gold, silver and platinum market for private investors online. Formerly head of editorial at London's top publisher of private-investment advice, he was City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning from 2003 to 2008, and he has now been researching and writing daily analysis of precious metals and the wider financial markets for over 20 years. A frequent guest on BBC radio and television, Adrian is regularly quoted by the Financial Times, MarketWatch and many other respected news outlets, and his views from inside the bullion market have been sought by the Economist magazine, CNBC, Bloomberg, Germany's Handelsblatt and FAZ, plus Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore.

See the full archive of Adrian Ash articles on GoldNews.

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